New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon (55) pitches against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.

The Boston Red Sox (31-35) visit the New York Yankees (39-24) for the rubber game of their 3-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 games but have won 2 of their last 3 games and, after losing the series opener 9-6, they beat the Yankees 10-7 on Saturday, powered by a 5-run third inning after the Yankees put up 3 runs in the bottom of the second. SS Trevor Story drove in 5 runs with 3 hits and 1B Romy Gonzalez had 3 hits, including his first home run of the year, and drove in 2 runs.

The Yankees have won 4 of their last 6 games. On Saturday, starter Ryan Yarbrough allowed 8 runs and 9 hits in 4 innings. Trailing 8-5, they rallied for 2 runs in the eighth inning, but RP Ian Hamilton allowed 2 runs in the ninth and the offense was set down in order in the ninth. C Austin Webb drove in 4 runs with his 10th home run and a double. As a team, the Yankees struck out 15 times.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Hunter Dobbins vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Dobbins (2-1, 4.06 ERA) makes his eighth start and 10th appearance. The rookie has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 44 1/3 innings.

  • Last appearance: No-decision; 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Monday
  • Returns to the rotation after 2 weeks in the bullpen to face Yankees for first time in his career
  • 2025 road splits: 2-1, 3.86 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 5 starts, 1 relief appearance

Rodon (8-3, 2.49 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 79 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-2 home win over the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday
  • Is 4-0 with 0.72 ERA (25 IP, 2 ER) in last 4 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 4-4, 3.83 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 9 starts
  • 2025 home splits: 4-2, 2.38 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 7 starts

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Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Yankees -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-110) | Yankees -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Yankees have won 9 straight series finales. They are 21-11 at home while the Red Sox are 14-19 on the road.

Rodon has been almost unhittable in his last 4 starts, allowing a total of 2 ER in his last 25 innings while Dobbins has allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.

Expect the Yankees to close out the series with a win, but -220 odds aren't worth the payout. You'll get more value with the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Rodon's last 3 starts have been 1-run wins. Sox of the Yankees' last 11 wins have been by 1 run.

Five of Boston's last 9 losses have been by 1 run and the Sox are 13-6 ATS as road underdogs.

BET RED SOX +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Rodon's last 4 starts have all had totals of 8 or fewer runs.

Boston has had 3 straight games with more than 8 total runs but 8 of its last 13 ganes have had totals of 7 or fewer runs. Six of the Yankees' last 11 games have not reached 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Jess Root, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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