Gregory Jack is a senior vice-president with Ipsos Public Affairs in Canada and one of the principal researchers on Trump, Tariffs and Turmoil.

As the second half of summer kicks off and the Aug. 1 deadline set by United States President Donald Trump has passed, Canada doesn’t seem any further ahead on making a trade deal with the U.S.

Prime Minister Mark Carney has long said that any deal must benefit Canada; the fact that no deal has emerged suggests the government has yet to see something that meets this condition.

In July, Ipsos asked Canadians whether they thought Trump was bluffing, and 36 per cent of Canadians said they believed he was. Trump, it turns out, wasn’t bluffing. The president’s announcement of a 35 per cent tariff on non-CUSMA-compliant goods came into force as of

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