Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Aug 15 2025

000

WTNT45 KNHC 152043

TCDAT5

Hurricane Erin Discussion Number 18

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025

500 PM AST Fri Aug 15 2025

Erin continues to slowly become better organized, with convective

banding increasing near the center and a couple of attempts to form

an eye. Earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter data did not

show any increase in winds after the previous advisory, although

the central pressure fell to near 993 mb. Satellite intensity

estimates are in the 60-75 kt range and are gradually increasing.

The initial intensity is held at 65 kt pending the arrival of the

next NOAA and Air Force aircraft this evening.

The initial motion is 290 to 295 degrees at 15 kt. The subtropical

ridge to the north will co

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