Incumbent’s Recent Advertising Blitz Appears to Close Double-Digit Gap; 37% of Voters Undecided

A new Emerson College survey indicates that the race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas is a dead heat between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. The poll, released on Friday, shows Cornyn with a slim one-point lead, 30% to Paxton’s 29%.

This result marks a significant shift from earlier polling, which consistently showed Paxton with a double-digit advantage.

The survey’s findings are the first public measure of the race since pro-Cornyn groups began investing millions of dollars into advertising to promote his record. Texans for a Conservative Majority, a Super PAC backing Cornyn, has spent over $3 million on advertising through the end of July.

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