Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Shane Bieber (57) throws a pitch against the Miami Marlins at Loan Depot Park in Miami, Florida.

The Milwaukee Brewers (83-52) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (78-56) for the opener of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Brewers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2024 series 2-1

The Brewers lost 6-4 Thursday in the finale of their 4-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks. After they won the first 2 games of the series, they lost the last 2 games. Milwaukee was one of the hottest teams in the majors in early August, but has lost 7 of its last 11 games. They lead the NL Central by 6 1/2 games over the Chicago Cubs.

The Blue Jays defeated the Minnesota Twins 9-8 Wednesday, winning 2 of 3 games in that series. They have been surging offensively and scored 24 runs in that series. SS Bo Bichette has been their key weapon, totaling a team-high 86 RBIs on the season. Toronto has performed well at home as of late, having won 6 of its last 9 games. The Blue Jays, who lead the AL East by 3 1/2 games over the Boston Red Sox, are 44-22 at the Rogers Centre this season.

Brewers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Shane Bieber

Peralta (15-5, 2.68 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 147 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 7-1 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Saturday
  • 2025 road stats: 7-4, 3.65 ERA (69 IP, 28 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 49 H, 34 BB, 73 K in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 4.5 K/9 in 1 start, a 3-1 road loss on June 1, 2023

Bieber (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his second start. He has a 0.33 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 6 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-2 road victory vs. Miami Marlins Friday
  • The 2020 AL Cy Young winner has just returned after undergoing Tommy John surgery in April 2024
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 16.2 K/9 in 2 starts

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Brewers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Brewers at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-140).

Bieber was phenomenal in his first outing of the season and looks to continue that form. At the same time, Toronto is surging and has scored at least 5 runs in 5 of its last 6 games, suggesting it should be able to score on Peralta. Toronto is 2-0 with a rest advantage.

The Brewers have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games and are just 2-4 over their last 6 road games. Considering those trends, take BLUE JAYS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds are reasonable for both sides, but neither are worth taking. The Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) are too risky as compared to their moneyline odds, while the Brewers +1.5 (-200) are too expensive to consider.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Both sides have potent offenses, and while the starting pitchers are strong, this is a low enough total to take the Over on. The Brewers are 4-2 O/U in their last 6 games and 4-1 O/U in Peralta's last 5 starts.

The Blue Jays have gone Over in 5 straight games, allowing at least 4 runs in each of those while scoring 7 or more runs in 3 of those contests. Back OVER 7.5 (-115).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Milwaukee Brewers at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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