Penn State opens its 2025 season on Saturday at Beaver Stadium as heavy 43.5-point favorites against Nevada, a line that reflects the wide gulf between a top-10 program and a rebuilding Wolf Pack. Dimers.com’s predictive model gives the Nittany Lions a 100% chance of victory after 10,000 simulations, projecting a final score of 47-4. While the outcome looks all but decided, bettors will be watching whether Penn State can cover such a massive spread and if the game’s 54.5-point total trends toward the over, which the model leans toward at 54%.

For Nevada, the task is steep: contain Penn State’s depth and firepower long enough to stay within striking distance. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET in Happy Valley, where James Franklin’s squad will look to make an early statement in Week 1 while

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