Updated at 9:30 a.m. ET on Monday, Sept. 1, 2025

The National Hurricane Center has increased the odds of development of the disorganized tropical disturbance off the coast of Africa to the medium range. But it's going to be a slow process.

The steering currents are weak across the tropical belt, so it's going to take at least a week until the system reaches the general vicinity of the Caribbean islands. The atmospheric conditions are only moderately conducive for development between the Caribbean and Africa, but it doesn't take much for a tropical depression to spin up.

In the long range, the various computer forecasts diverge. Some show a weak disturbance continuing west, and others predict the system will evolve into Tropical Storm or Hurricane Gabrielle and turn north.

There is a co

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