The 2025 NFL season kicks off at MetLife Stadium on Sunday with an AFC clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets. Pittsburgh comes in as a narrow 2.5-point favorite, but the line reflects just how close oddsmakers expect this Week 1 matchup to be. With Aaron Rodgers now guiding the Steelers offense and Justin Fields under center for the Jets, quarterback play will be in the spotlight from the first snap.

According to Dimers.com’s predictive model , the Steelers hold a 57% chance of victory after 10,000 simulations, though the Jets have a 58% probability to cover the spread. The model’s projected final score — 20-18 in favor of Pittsburgh — underscores the expectation of a tight, low-scoring contest. The total is set at just 37.5 points, one of the lowest of the NFL’s openin

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