The National Hurricane Center on Saturday continued to track an Atlantic system moving toward the Caribbean but now only forecasts a low chance it could form into the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

As of the NHC’s 2 p.m. outlook, the tropical wave dubbed Invest 91-L in the central tropical Atlantic had just a small area of showers and thunderstorms.

“Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical depression continue to diminish,” forecasters said. “The wave is expected to move generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.”

It’s forecast to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to late part of next week.

The NHC gave the disturbance a 20% chance to develop over the next two to seven days. That was down fr

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