The Chicago Bears are coming off another terrible season, while the Minnesota Vikings won 14 games. Minnesota looks like the obvious option here, but there are a few key reasons why Chicago makes more sense for the odds.

First, JJ McCarthy is taking over as the quarterback for the Vikings. He was a first-round pick in 2024, but he’s essentially a rookie after missing his entire rookie season with an injury. He has all the tools to be an above-average starter, but there are going to be severe growing pains.

Minnesota also struggled on the road at times last season. Their record (6-2) was fine, but their predictive metrics look relatively bad. The Vikings ranked fourth in the NFL in points per play (0.472) at home, compared to 22nd in the same category (0.331) on the road. They were also

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