Updated at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 14, 2025

A cluster of sustained thunderstorms has developed related to the large tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic, but the system is very disorganized. It's surrounded by dry and dusty air, so it's not expected to be able to develop an organized circulation for at least a couple of days.

By the middle or end of this week, however, the National Hurricane Center has set the odds in the high range that the system will develop into at least a tropical depression somewhere in the large red-hatched area. The consensus of the computer forecasts is that the system will develop into Tropical Storm or Hurricane Gabrielle.

The preliminary track forecasts range from the system turning north into the central Atlantic to tracking reasonably close to t

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