Best bet: PAMPERED (5)

Best value: LINARITE (7)

FIRST: Welshman won over the Fair Hill jumps by nearly six lengths on Aug. 30; pairs up. Zarak the Brave was a game second in Grade 1 Jonathan Sheppard Handicap last time; dangerous. Swore was a clear-cut maiden winner over the Colonial Downs fences last out; don't ignore.

SECOND: That'sthefactjack , a hard-charging third in last, should find today's additional furlong right in her wheelhouse. Spirit of Esther drops and returns to dirt; dangerous. She's Complicated takes price plunge after failing to beat a horse in last two starts; damaged goods?

THIRD: Sunshine Lily , freshened for eight weeks, fired eye-catching 5-furlong drill on Aug. 23; breakthrough predicted. Patience N Grace is training consistently for first start si

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