Each year after the second week of the NFL season, the long odds that teams face to make the playoffs after losing their first two games get bandied about.

The odds have hovered at just under 12% ever since the NFL expanded the season to 16 games and added a second wild-card team in 1978 with little fluctuation when additional playoff teams were added in 1990 and 2020.

None of those other teams have come off three straight Super Bowl appearances like Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.

The oddsmakers at BetMGM have Kansas City as a favorite to make the postseason with an implied probability of about 65%, while some other projection models have it closer to a 50-50 proposition.

Since the playoffs expanded in 2020, only five of the 43 teams (11.6%) that started 0-2 made the posts

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