As recently as Sept. 2, the Red Sox’s playoff odds according to Fangraphs stood as high as 98.2%.

Now they have fallen to 86.7%, but what once looked like a foregone conclusion is beginning to look like an uncomfortable race to the finish.

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The Red Sox enter Wednesday’s game just 2.5 games up on the Cleveland Guardians for the final American League Wild Card spot with 11 games to play. The Guardians have won five straight and are 9-1 in their last 10 games to vault themselves back into the playoff conversation, while the Red Sox have lost four of five and are 4-6 over their last 10.

A big part of the problem? The Red Sox have averaged three runs per game over their last five, including two losses where the club could only manage one run.

Needing to get back on track, t

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