There's a 25% chance that the future of AI will go "really, really badly," Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said at the Axios AI+ DC Summit on Wednesday.
Why it matters: Amodei gave the percentage after being asked his "(p)doom number," which is the probability that things go south with AI — specifically that it destroys humanity. • Amodei says getting real about potential concerns with AI is key to positive outcomes.
What he's saying: "I really hate that term," Amodei told Axios co-founder and CEO Jim VandeHei when asked about his (p)doom number. • Amodei also said there's a "75% chance that things go really, really well."
Context: Amodei has been on the record with a (p)doom number of 25% in the past. • Elon Musk has put his p(doom) number as high as 20%. In July after releasing Grok-