The Federal Reserve has cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point, marking the first reduction this year. The new federal funds rate now stands between 4% and 4.25%. This decision comes as the central bank aims to address a weakening labor market and rising inflation.
Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, announced the rate cut during a press conference. He explained that the decision was influenced by a slowdown in job growth and an increase in inflation. "My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people," Powell stated. He noted that while the unemployment rate remains low, it has slightly increased, and job gains have slowed.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) indicated that it is more concerned about the risks to employment than inflation. The committee projected two additional quarter-point rate cuts may occur later this year. Powell highlighted that the economy's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by about 1.5% in the first half of the year, a decline from 2.5% the previous year. He anticipates GDP growth of 1.6% for this year and 1.8% for the next.
Inflation remains a significant concern, with personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices rising 2.7% over the past year, excluding food and energy. Core PCE prices increased by 2.9%. Powell acknowledged that while inflation for goods has risen, there has been a trend of disinflation in services. The Fed's median projections estimate total PCE inflation at 3% for this year, decreasing to 2.1% by 2027.
The decision to cut rates comes amid ongoing pressure from President Donald Trump, who has been vocal about his desire for lower interest rates. Recently, Trump has attempted to influence the Fed's board by seeking to remove certain members and secure confirmations for others. Stephen Miran, a new economic advisor to the White House, cast the only dissenting vote during the meeting, advocating for a larger half-point cut.
The Fed's dual mandate requires balancing inflation control with maximizing employment. Powell described the current economic situation as "challenging," with risks to inflation skewed upward and risks to employment tilted downward. He emphasized the need for the Fed to remain flexible in its monetary policy to respond to evolving economic conditions.
As the Fed navigates these complexities, it remains committed to monitoring incoming data and adjusting its policies accordingly. The central bank's actions will continue to be closely watched as they seek to stabilize the economy amid fluctuating employment and inflation rates.