College football Week 4 brings a board full of numbers that look tempting at first glance, but dig a little deeper, and the edges start to reveal themselves.

Some of these matchups hinge on mismatches in the trenches, others on pace and red zone execution and a few are simply about trusting what we already know.

I've run through the current stats and the storylines, and three bets made the cut.

All odds by ESPN BET

Tulsa at Oklahoma State (Friday)

Bet to make: Tulsa +13.5

I saw this and caught myself saying out loud, "Why?!" Because Tulsa lost 45-10 last year? Different team.

Oklahoma State was up just 17-7 at the half against UT Martin and then got bulldozed the following week by Oregon . This is not just a slow start.

The concerns were there all summer: overhauled coachi

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