The United States is undergoing a manufacturing revival, driven by efforts to reshore critical industries, strengthen supply chain resilience, and expand domestic employment. Yet how many jobs this resurgence will actually create remains unclear.

A 2024 study by Deloitte and The Manufacturing Institute projected demand for up to 3.8 million new manufacturing workers between 2024 and 2033, with roughly half of those positions at risk of going unfilled due to persistent talent shortages. In contrast, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) forecasts a much smaller increase— just 110,000 new manufacturing jobs by 2033. Meanwhile, our independent analysis of state-level projections compiled from state labor departments estimates a combined 10-year manufacturing employment growth of ab

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