A new Emerson College Poll of New Jersey voters finds 43% of voters support Mikie Sherrill (D) and Jack Ciatarelli (R), with 11% of voters undecided.

Decision Desk HQ: New Jersey’s 2025 race for governor could be close.

The polling averages suggest Sherrill has squandered what was once a comfortable lead. But she still holds a small advantage — and it’s worth noting that several of the surveys driving the “dead heat” narrative are internal polls released by Ciattarelli’s campaign. Independent polls still show her with more breathing room.

The contest is often lumped together with the governor’s race in Virginia, where Sherrill’s close friend Abigail Spanberger (D) is running. But the dynamics are very different. Spanberger gets to run as the change candidate in Virginia, while Sherrill

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