The Brief

According to a report, the U.S. population may decline in 2025 for the first time in history as immigration and birth rates continue to fall.

By the numbers:

According to the American Enterprise Institute , in 2025, net migration is expected to range from a loss of about 525,000 people to a small gain of 115,000, showing fewer people coming in and more leaving.

Migration may drop even more in 2026 before starting to recover in 2027 and 2028.

According to Census Bureau data analyzed by the Pew Research Center, in January 2025, 53.3 million immigrants lived in the United States – the largest number ever recorded. But in the following months, more immigrants left the country or were deported than arrived, according to the Pew Research Center.

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