Which party do likely voters prefer in next year’s midterm elections? The four founding firms of the National Association of Independent Pollsters joined in a national survey on this question.

Each surveyed the exact same questions nationwide and the results were combined and then weighted. The survey included 2,071 likely voters. It was conducted Sept. 6-13, 2025. The margin of error is plus or minus 2%.

The answers

The two generic ballot tests were as follows:

In the 2026 midterm congressional elections next fall, for whom would you most likely vote? The answers were: Democrat candidate, 45%; Republican candidate, 43%; and undecided, 12%.

If the 2026 congressional elections were held tomorrow, for whom would you most likely vote? The answers were: Democrat candidate, 47%; Republican

See Full Page