Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders best prop bets for Monday Night Football

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) celebrates after the victory over the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada.

The Chicago Bears (2-2) and the Washington Commanders (3-2) meet on Monday Night Football at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Bears vs. Commanders odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 6.

The Chicago Bears return from their bye week looking to build on a narrow Week 4 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Chicago won 25-24, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog as the Over (48) cashed. Despite being outgained 357 yards to 271, the Bears’ defense forced 4 turnovers to seal the win. WR Rome Odunze caught 4 passes for 69 yards and a TD, while RB D’Andre Swift added 60 total yards and a score.

QB Jayden Daniels returned from a 2-week absence and immediately made an impact, leading the Washington Commanders to a 27-10 win over the LA Chargers in Week 5. Washington covered as a 3-point road underdog as the Under (48) hit. Rookie RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt had a breakout performance with 150 total yards and 2 TDs, and WR Deebo Samuel added 8 receptions for 96 yards and a score.

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Bears at Commanders prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:49 p.m. ET.

Commanders RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt OVER 69.5 RUSHING YARDS (-118)

The rookie RB, who prefers to go by “Bill,” finally had his breakout performance in Week 5 against the Chargers. The seventh-round pick racked up 150 total yards and 2 TDs, including 111 on the ground. He looked every bit like a feature back, handling a season-high 14 carries and showing the explosiveness that had coaches excited throughout training camp.

The Bears, meanwhile, have struggled mightily against the run. They’re allowing 164.5 rushing yards per game — the second-worst mark in the NFL — and were just gashed by rookie Ashton Jeanty for 138 yards on 6.6 yards per carry before their bye. While Washington still mixes in Jeremy McNichols and Chris Rodriguez, it’s clear that Croskey-Merritt has earned the lead role. With another prime-time stage on Monday Night Football, expect him to build on last week’s momentum and surpass his rushing line once again.

RB D'Andre Swift OVER 17.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110)

Swift has always been one of the league’s most reliable pass-catching running backs, and he’s proving it again this season. Through 4 games, he has 13 receptions, catching at least 3 passes in every contest. That shouldn’t surprise anyone familiar with coach Ben Johnson; the 2 worked together in Detroit, where Johnson consistently schemed ways to get Swift in space.

With the Bears offense clicking, Swift’s versatility has become a key piece. He’s cleared this receiving yardage mark in each of the last 2 games, and if he catches 3 passes again, surpassing 17 yards should be well within reach. The Commanders have allowed 37.8 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this year, and Swift’s elusiveness gives him a clear advantage. He totaled 129 yards against Washington last season — expect another productive outing from him on Monday night.

BEARS AT CHIEFS: Odds, picks and predictions

Bears WR Rome Odunze OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS (-135)

Bears WR Rome Odunze ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (+140)

Odunze continues to show why he’s emerging as a true No. 1 receiver in the NFL. His chemistry with QB Caleb Williams is undeniable — the kind of QB-WR connection coaches dream of building. Odunze has scored at least 1 TD in every game this season, totaling 5 through 4 weeks, and has proven to be Williams’ most trusted target in key moments.

While Odunze has gone over his receptions prop in only 2 of those games, this matchup against Washington’s secondary looks extremely favorable. The Commanders have been vulnerable to top receivers, giving up 151.2 receiving yards per game to the position. DB Marshon Lattimore, their marquee addition, has been beaten repeatedly in coverage, and 4 of the last 5 opposing wideouts have cleared this prop number. In that stretch, receivers like Keenan Allen, Ladd McConkey, and Drake London all posted big outings, combining for 5 touchdowns.

The Commanders are allowing 1.2 receiving scores per game to wideouts — bad news against a dynamic duo like Williams and Odunze. Expect the Bears to lean on their young star early and often Monday as they look to snag a crucial road win.

Bears QB Caleb Williams OVER 1.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (+105)

This one means a little more to Williams. The No. 1 overall pick will always be compared to Daniels, who went right behind him at No. 2 — and last year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year has set the early bar high. Adding to the tension, Washington pulled off a miracle win over Chicago at Northwest Stadium last season, stealing the game on a last-second Hail Mary.

That moment has undoubtedly stuck with Williams, and after a bye week to prepare, he’s got the chance to flip the script. Through 4 games, he’s thrown 8 TD passes and hit the over on his passing prop in 2 of his last 3 outings. With weapons like Odunze — who’s also a strong bet to find the end zone — Williams is primed for a big performance. The Commanders’ defense has already surrendered 8 passing TDs this season, setting the stage for a potential statement game Monday night.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders best prop bets for Monday Night Football

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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