At the 2025 federal election in May, Pauline Hanson's One Nation recorded a primary vote of 6.4 per cent, about half that of the Greens at 12.2 per cent.

But since then, support for the right-wing populist party has surged, with polls showing it now sits between 11 per cent and 14 per cent. The latest Resolve poll for the Nine papers, for example, has One Nation at 12 per cent on first preferences, edging out the Greens at 11 per cent.

This is politically significant for several reasons. Not only is this performance well above One Nation's recent election results, but it is high enough to challenge the Greens as Australia's third-largest party in polling terms.

If this result was replicated at an election, it would put One Nation in a position to win House of Representatives seats.

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