New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears odds, picks and predictions

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) throws a touchdown pass against the Washington Commanders during the fourth quarter at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., Oct. 13.

The New Orleans Saints (1-5) and Chicago Bears (3-2) meet in a Week 7 showdown Sunday. Kickoff from Soldier Field in Chicago is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Saints vs. Bears odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Bears beat the Washington Commanders 25-24 in one of 2 Week 6 Monday Night Football contests, covering as a 5.5-point road underdog as the Under (49.5) hit. Chicago has ripped off 3 straight wins and covers after going 0-2 straight up and against the spread (ATS) through the first couple of weeks. It has been led this season by QB Caleb Williams, who has 1,179 yards and 11 total touchdowns through 5 starts.

The Saints lost 25-19 to the New England Patriots Sunday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Under (46) cashed. New Orleans sits last in the NFC South and lost its first 4 games of the season. Its defense has been the main cause of concern, allowing at least 25 points in 4 of 6 games this season.

The last time these teams met (Nov. 5, 2023), the Saints won 24-17 but did not cover as a 10-point home favorite. The Under (42) hit.

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Saints at Bears odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Bears -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +4.5 (-110) | Bears -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Saints at Bears key injuries

Saints

CB Isaac Yiadom (hamstring) questionable

Bears

RB Travis Homer (calf) questionable
DL Grady Jarrett (knee) questionable
LB Noah Sewell (concussion) out
RB D'Andre Swift (groin) questionable

Saints at Bears picks and predictions

Prediction

Bears 31, Saints 20

Moneyline

PASS.

Avoid this play. The Saints (+195) aren't worthy of a play as a hefty road underdog, especially having been blown out in away games. Similarly, the Bears (-235) are far too expensive to take here. at least 21 points in every game this season. It also has a questionable defense, having given up at least 24 points in 4 of 5 games. Swift popped up on the injury report this week with a groin issue and was limited Thursday and Friday. That could be big.

Against the spread

BET BEARS -4.5 (-110).

The Saints have been atrocious on the road. While they are 1-1 ATS, they are 0-2 overall with a -43 point differential in those contests. New Orleans sits 30th in the league in opponents' average passer rating (111.0). Its defense just hasn't held up, and there's no reason to think that'll change Sunday.

For Chicago, it is coming off 2 straight 25-24 wins, but both of those were as a road underdog. It has tallied

Considering those trends, take the more proven Williams, who will be playing at home for the first time since Week 3. Back BEARS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 45.5 (-120).

Neither team knows how to defend. The Bears are 3-0 O/U with a total Under (49). They are also averaging 27.5 points per game at home, so they should be able to score against a subpar New Orleans defense.

The Saints are 3-3 O/U on the year yet 2-0 O/U on the road, averaging 16 points offensively and allowing 37.5 per game defensively. They have tallied at least 19 points in 3 straight.

Expect a high-scoring game and back OVER 45.5 (-120).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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