The NFC South spotlight turns to New Orleans this afternoon as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Saints at Caesars Superdome in a divisional matchup with major implications. Tampa Bay enters as a 4.5-point favorite, with Dimers’ predictive model giving the Bucs a 61% chance to win after running 10,000 simulations . Baker Mayfield has been steady at the helm, projected for 253 passing yards as he continues building chemistry with rookie receiver Emeka Egbuka and dual-threat back Rachaad White. For the Saints, quarterback Spencer Rattler looks to build on flashes of promise while relying on Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave to fuel an offense that’s been inconsistent but capable of keeping pace at home.

Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET, and while Tampa Bay is favored, Dimers’ data leans toward

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