"Vote" signs are seen near an early voting site in the Flatbush neighborhood of New York's Brooklyn borough on October 25, 2025. Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

We’re just days away from 2025’s off-year elections. Beyond how the races themselves turn out, the contests will be a valuable source of data to analyze – and perhaps overanalyze – ahead of next year’s midterms.

Here’s an overview of what the polls suggest about the four big races we’re watching this year.

A note: Polls are a valuable tool for understanding the electorate, but they’re most useful when they’re treated as estimates rather than attempts to predict the future with pinpoint precision. Often, what they tell us about the broader political environment is more valuable than the exact margin that any specific survey fi

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