One of the best ways to predict the future is to follow the energy. Right now, it’s not flowing how history would suggest.

Every election tells a story about America’s political current, and the 2025 off-year elections are no exception. Beneath the headlines about turnout and television ads, these races offer a preview of the realignment taking shape since Donald Trump’s 2024 re-election.

And it’s revealing something few expected: Democrats are facing headwinds in places where Democrats should be winning big.

Typically, the party that lost the White House performs better in the off-year elections following a presidential election. With Trump back in the White House, Democrats should be running up the score in deep-blue states such as New Jersey and Virginia, and in a city as left-leanin

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