Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season begins on Thursday with the Denver Broncos facing the Las Vegas Raiders in a division matchup. The Raiders have struggled to win games despite making a change at coach and quarterback, while Denver leads the AFC West thanks to stellar play from Bo Nix and a staunch defense. Division matchups are often closer on the field than they may appear on paper, and SportsLine NFL expert Jeff Hochman has one such matchup in mind when looking at best bets for Week 10. Here's the system he's using when making this play.

Road teams that lost last three ATS vs. winning teams

• Win rate: 76.7% (33-10-2 ATS)

• Time frame: 45-game sample size

• Criteria: Road underdogs are on a 0-3 ATS losing streak against a winning team

• Edge: Division games

Why this w

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