The AFC West spotlight turns to Denver on Thursday night as the Broncos host the Las Vegas Raiders under the lights at Mile High. Denver enters as a 9.5-point favorite after a resurgent stretch has put them back in the Wild Card conversation, while Las Vegas looks to spoil the party and snap its skid against a division rival. The Dimers model gives the Broncos a 78% chance to win , but the Raiders’ offense—led by Geno Smith, Brock Bowers, and rookie back Ashton Jeanty—has shown enough flashes to make this primetime matchup more interesting than the spread suggests.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET, with the total listed at 42.5 points. Dimers projects a 25–17 Broncos victory , though the Raiders moneyline (+410) offers sneaky betting value based on model edge. Expect a grind-it-out g

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