New Delhi: Delhi’s air is likely to deteriorate further on 9 November from “very poor” to “severe” xone, with NewsDrum’s farm-fire-based model, recalibrated on the full October–November series and adjusted for this week’s stagnant winds, projecting a 24-hour average AQI of 410 around the 4 pm bulletin.

NewsDrum is the first outlet in India to publish daily AQI predictions built directly on satellite-detected stubble-burning data. The series will run through November, offering a forward look at air quality rather than a post-mortem.

The forecast reflects two signals: a renewed rise in crop-residue fires across key source states and persistence of weak dispersion over the NCR.

On 8 November, CREAMS recorded Punjab 100 → 238 (+138; ~2.4×), Haryana 35 → 42 (+7; ~1.2×), Rajasthan 83 → 120 (+

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