Division matchups reign supreme in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season, with nine division games taking place headlined by the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks taking on the Los Angeles Rams . With so many division games on the docket, SportsLine expert Jeff Hochman is looking at a system play involving underdogs in division games with low totals. Here's a look at how successful the formula is and who Hochman is locking in for his Week 11 play.

Divisional underdogs with low totals (over/under 42 or less)

• Win rate: 60.2% (65-43-3 ATS)

• Time frame: Since 2018

• Criteria: Underdogs of seven or more points with a total 42 or less

• Edge: Home teams in division games

Why this works

Divisional games tend to be tightly contested becaus

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