With no exception, pollsters have predicted a clean win for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly elections 2025 —endorsing street views that the “Jungle Raj” theme of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and “ Das Hazariya” (Rs 10,000 direct benefit transfer to women) by the Nitish Kumar-led state government built an impregnable castle for the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) to demolish.
Predictions of Bihar exit polls, however, must be read with cautious discretion. In the past, they have proved to be wrong—not to forget the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections when the NDA scraped through narrowly. Distinctive regional political profiles within Bihar have tested the skills of political pundits and pollsters alike.
Memories of 'Jungle Raj'
If the pollsters have indeed hit the

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