Recent exit polls indicate a likely victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly elections, with predictions suggesting they could secure between 121 to 160 seats in the 243-member assembly. The results of the elections, held in two phases on November 6 and 11, will be announced on November 14.

The Axis My India exit poll forecasts the NDA winning 121 to 141 seats, while Today's Chanakya predicts a more substantial win with 160 seats, giving the NDA a clear edge over the Mahagathbandhan, which is projected to secure between 98 to 118 seats. The Jan Suraaj Party, led by Prashant Kishor, is expected to have a disappointing debut, with predictions of winning only 0 to 5 seats.

In terms of vote share, Axis My India estimates the NDA will receive 43% of the votes, compared to 41% for the Mahagathbandhan and 4% for Jan Suraaj. Notably, the exit polls suggest that the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) may emerge as the single-largest party, potentially winning between 67 to 76 seats, followed by the Janata Dal (United) with 56 to 62 seats and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) with 50 to 56 seats.

Interestingly, while the NDA is projected to win, the approval ratings for the chief ministerial candidates show a preference for Tejashwi Yadav of the RJD over the incumbent Nitish Kumar. According to the polls, 34% of voters prefer Tejashwi as Chief Minister, while only 22% support Nitish Kumar.

The exit polls also reveal a significant voter turnout of 67.14%, the highest recorded in Bihar since 1951. The NDA is expected to perform well in various regions, including Patliputra-Magadh and Mithilanchal, while the Mahagathbandhan is predicted to lead in the Seemanchal region.

As the state awaits the final results, the exit polls provide a glimpse into the electoral landscape, highlighting the competitive nature of Bihar politics and the shifting preferences of the electorate.