NFL picks against the spread for Week 11 from our expert staff

Nov 9, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) throws a pass during the second quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

The NFL season continues to roll on, and Week 11 features quite a few fascinating matchups as we're now in the back half of the campaign.

There are several division matchups with massive playoff implications, headlined by games between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos out of the AFC West and the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams out of the NFC West.

Those aren't the only big games on the slate as the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles draw an NFC North opponent in primetime for the second week in a row as they play host to the Lions, and there's a fascinating cross-conference matchup as the Buffalo Bills look to arrest their slide against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is also coming off a loss in Week 10.

Our experts are back to bring you their picks for every game on the Week 11 slate.

Name	Week 7 Record	2025 Record
Prince Grimes	7-6-1	69-76-4
Charles Curtis	6-7-1	71-74-4
Cory Woodroof	N/A	36-39-3
Robert Zeglinski	6-7-1	75-70-4
Christian D'Andrea	7-6-1	75-70-4
Tyler Nettuno	9-4-1	73-72-3

New York Jets at New England Patriots (Thursday Night Football)

Opening Line: Patriots -5.5

Grimes: Patriots -13

It's know way you can trust this Jets offense to do anything productive.

Curtis: Patriots -13

I keep thinking that it's a divisional game on a short week. And then I think: "... But it's the Jets."

Zeglinski: Patriots -13

The Jets have quietly won two of their last three games. The reason it's quietly is because they beat the Joe Burrow-less Bengals and the Browns. The Patriots, who look like a contender, should wax Gang Green.

D'Andrea: Patriots -13

The Jets have three different games this season with fewer than 60 passing yards. The Patriots hate these guys. Those two things aren't related but should equal a New England win.

Nettuno: Patriots -13

A lot of points, but New England should dominate at home.

Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders (in Madrid)

Opening Line: Commanders -4.5

Grimes: Dolphins -2.5

This is less about Mariota and lack of trust in Washington's offense, and more about a Washington defense that's been getting destroyed.

Curtis: Dolphins -2.5

Miami showed signs of life last week and the Commanders have been bleh without Jayden Daniels.

Zeglinski: Dolphins -2.5

Turns out the Dolphins are probably justtttttttt competent enough to ensure Mike McDaniel stays employed until early January.

D'Andrea: Dolphins -2.5

Miami has more playmakers, but this game could turn Spain off American football entirely.

Nettuno: Dolphins -2.5

Are those signs of life from the Miami Dolphins?

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Opening Line: Bengals -1.5

Grimes: Bengals +5.5

Mike Tomlin knew better than to doubt Joe Flacco and now I do too.

Curtis: Bengals +5.5

Aaron Rodgers is starting to show his age.

Zeglinski: Bengals +5.5

Aaron Rodgers is looking more washed by the week and this is also a reflection of moderate trust in Joe Flacco.

D'Andrea: Bengals +5.5

Cincinnati's coming off a bye and Aaron Rodgers is coming off, arguably, his worst game in more than a decade.

Nettuno: Steelers -5.5

I'll bank on no Joe Flacco magic as Pittsburgh bounces back this week.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Opening Line: Falcons -3

Grimes: Panthers +3.5

I'll pick up the points with the hook. Let's not forget Carolina beat Atlanta 30-0 their first meeting.

Curtis: Panthers +3.5

Carolina is juuuust feisty enough to cover here.

Zeglinski: Falcons -3.5

The Falcons are rudderless but I believe in their ground game enough to overcome Carolina.

D'Andrea: Falcons -3.5

Atlanta has the better defense to back up a completely untrustworthy quarterback.

Nettuno: Panthers +3.5

Whenever I pick against the Panthers, I typically regret it.

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Opening Line: Texans -3

Grimes: Texans -7

Outside their one win, the Titans haven't played a game closer than seven points all season.

Curtis: Texans -7

My confidence in the Titans is... not there.

Zeglinski: Texans -7

Titans fans, see the forest for the trees. Why are you still paying attention to this team? I'm worried about you. Don't hesitate to reach out.

D'Andrea: Texans -7

The Titans have only covered three times this season. Once was in Week 1 in a fairly normal game. The other two needed meltdowns of varying degrees against the Cardinals and Chargers. I believe Houston can be competent enough to make this the blowout it should be on paper.

Nettuno: Texans -7

Houston still has all kinds of issues, but it's not the dumpster fire that is the Tennessee Titans.

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants

Opening Line: Packers -4.5

Grimes: Packers -7

I liked the idea of Jameis in New York's offense at the start of the season. Not with the depleted unit that's remaining.

Curtis: Packers -7

Jameis Winston will be fun to watch as always but he won't be able to do much.

Zeglinski: Packers -7

The Packers are a blob of malaise and disorganization but ... are the Giants any better?

D'Andrea: Giants +7

Time for Jameis Winston and interim head coach Mike Kafka to get that dead cat bounce.

Nettuno: Giants +7

The Giants are at least competitive, and the Packers routinely struggle to put away inferior teams.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Opening Line: Vikings -2.5

Grimes: Bears +3

I think Brian Flores' defense can give the Bears trouble, but not enough to lay a field goal on JJ McCarthy.

Curtis: Bears +3

Love seeing Caleb Williams doing THAT last week (except it was against the Giants, ugh).

Zeglinski: Bears +3

Caleb Williams is slowly rounding into top-caliber form and that's enough for me to give Chicago the edge.

D'Andrea: Bears +3

Two inscrutable teams, fortunately quarantined from the rest of the league in a divisional showdown.

Nettuno: Bears +3

Chicago is kind of feisty.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills

Opening Line: Bills -5.5

Grimes: Bucs +5

The Bills haven't demonstrated themselves to be a team worthy of laying this many points against another decent team.

Curtis: Bills -5.5

Buffalo needs to make a statement here after last week's stinker and the Bills will.

Zeglinski: Bills -5.5

There will be an edge to the Bills this week that will only last about a week before their flaws show out again.

D'Andrea: Bucs +5.5

Both teams need a stabilizing win. Baker Mayfield can do enough against this passing defense to at least keep things dramatic late.

Nettuno: Bucs +5.5

It's pretty hard to trust Buffalo right now.

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Opening Line: Chargers -1.5

Grimes: Chargers -3

The Chargers have allowed an average of just 13 points over their current 3-game win streak.

Curtis: Jaguars +3

I really dunno. Chargers coming East, Jags sometimes looking like a decent NFL team. I hate this pick either way.

Zeglinski: Chargers -3

The Jaguars blew a three-score fourth-quarter lead to DAVIS MILLS last week. They have lost the mandate of the football gods.

D'Andrea: Chargers -3

I hate backing a west coast team in Florida at 1 p.m., but Jim Harbaugh's going to have something in place against a Jacksonville team that doesn't have the pass rush to fully exploit the Chargers' blocking weakness.

Nettuno: Chargers -3

I think the Jags are on the verge of a complete collapse. As a long-suffering Jags fan, I hope I'm wrong. But I've seen this movie before.

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams

Opening Line: Rams -4.5

Grimes: Seahawks +3

Can't believe I'm rolling with Sam Darnold in a big game, but I like the points in a heavyweight battle.

Curtis: Rams -3

Love the Seahawks. Love the Rams more.

Zeglinski: Rams -3

Is this an NFC title game preview? It could be, and I'm of the belief the Rams are the NFC favorite soooooooo, yeah.

D'Andrea: Rams -3

This is exactly as much of a toss-up as the line suggests. Give me the home side.

Nettuno: Rams -3

This is a sick game, but I think the Rams are a bit better.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Opening Line: 49ers -1.5

Grimes: 49ers -2.5

The Jacoby Brissett magic came to a screeching end last week.

Curtis: 49ers -2.5

Not betting on Jacoby Brissett to pull off a miracle here.

Zeglinski: Cardinals +2.5

Jacoby Brissett is feisty and wily enough to keep this close before he blows it on the game-deciding possession.

D'Andrea: 49ers -2.5

Heh, what?

Nettuno: 49ers -2.5

I don't know, man. Sure.

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Opening Line: Ravens -8.5

Grimes: Ravens -8

It's incredible the Ravens are about to be .500 again and we all seen it coming.

Curtis: Ravens -8

Cleveland's defense is good but I have to back Lamar Jackson.

Zeglinski: Ravens -8

Man, the Ravens are really getting some wide-open midseason layups. They better not smoke them.

D'Andrea: Ravens -8

We've still got two weeks to go before we learn whether Baltimore's defensive improvements are sustainable thanks to a Browns-Jets back-to-back.

Nettuno: Ravens -8

Yeah, the Ravens are back.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Opening Line: Chiefs -1.5

Grimes: Broncos +4

The Chiefs don't usually have their way with Denver. This one will be close.

Curtis: Broncos +4

If it was a three-pointer, I'd feel differently.

Zeglinski: Broncos +4

The game is in Denver against an elite defense and Kansas City's four losses to this stage suggest it's not as immortal as years past.

D'Andrea: Broncos +4

Kansas City's offensive revival has been nice, but it hasn't faced a defense as explosive as Denver's.

Nettuno: Chiefs -4

I've been a Broncos doubter all year, and that's not changing here even with Kansas City playing on the road.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday Night Football)

Opening Line: Eagles -3.5

Grimes: Lions +2.5

The Eagles are winning, but something still feels off there — word to AJ Brown.

Curtis: Lions +2.5

Really, oddsmakers? OK, thanks!

Zeglinski: Lions +2.5

I'm pretty positive the Lions could score 30-plus points on most teams with a playcaller who understands them, like, you know, Dan Campbell. Will the Eagles even score 30 combined points over the last two weeks?

D'Andrea: Lions +2.5

Dan Campbell's playcalling resulted in more motion and nearly 600 total yards against the Commanders. With Philly's run attack struggling to close out games, it feels like we're due for some late-game Lions heroics.

Nettuno: Lions +2.5

Philly looks pretty gettable for a reigning Super Bowl champion tied for the best record in the NFC.

Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders (Monday Night Football)

Opening Line: Cowboys -1.5

Grimes: Cowboys -3

A soft matchup to get a Dallas back on track.

Curtis: Cowboys -3

Even on the road, this is an easy pick.

Zeglinski: Cowboys -3

Early returns on the Quinnen Williams trade will look incredible as he devours one of the NFL's worst offensive lines.

D'Andrea: Cowboys -3

Gonna be a loooooottttt of Dallas fans in Vegas.