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( NewsNation ) — President Donald Trump says a tariff dividend is coming for American families, but betting markets don’t expect checks anytime soon.

Earlier this month, Trump said on Truth Social that a dividend of “at least $2000 a person (not including high income people!)” would be paid to “everyone” but offered few details about the plan.

Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi see just a 2% chance that Americans receive tariff stimulus checks this year — down from about 13% shortly after Trump’s announcement.

Bettor sentiment weakened after Trump told reporters Monday that tariff dividends would be i

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