BYU football hasn’t appeared in a conference championship game since 1998, but the Cougars could change that as soon as this weekend.

After narrowly missing a trip to last year’s Big 12 title game, a BYU win on the road Saturday against 7-3 Cincinnati, coupled with some outside help, would punch the Cougars’ ticket to Arlington, Texas, for this year’s championship with time to spare.

One of the following two scenarios needs to occur in order for BYU to clinch a Big 12 title game berth this weekend:

BYU defeats Cincinnati, Colorado defeats Arizona State and TCU defeats Houston.

BYU defeats Cincinnati, Colorado defeats Arizona State and Utah defeats Kansas State.

According to ESPN’s analytics and SP+ rankings , here are the current likelihoods of each event occurring:

BYU win over Ci

See Full Page