The New England Patriots (9-2) and the Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) meet Sunday in Week 12 at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Bengals odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
New England extended its winning streak to 8 games with a 27-14 win over the New York Jets in Week 11, though the Patriots failed to cover as 13.5-point favorites as the Under (42.5) hit. QB Drake Maye had 281 passing yards and a TD, while rookie RB TreVeyon Henderson rushed for 62 yards and 2 scores.
Cincinnati’s skid continued in Week 11, dropping its third straight and sixth loss in the last 7 with a 34-12 defeat to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bengals failed to cover as 5.5-point road underdogs as the Under (48) cashed. QB Joe Flacco finished with 199 passing yards with 1 TD and 1 INT, while RB Chase Brown totaled 127 yards in the loss.
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Patriots at Bengals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Patriots -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Bengals +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
- Against the spread (ATS): Patriots -7.5 (-110) | Bengals +7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Patriots at Bengals key injuries
Patriots
- LB Harold Landry (knee) questionable
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) questionable
- LB Jahlani Tavai (personal) out
Bengals
- S Daijahn Anthony (hamstring) out
- QB Joe Burrow (toe) out
- DE Trey Hendrickson (hip/pelvis) out
- RB Samaje Perine (ankle) doubtful
- DE Cameron Sample (oblique) out
- CB Cam Taylor-Britt (foot) out
Patriots at Bengals picks and predictions
Prediction
Patriots 34, Bengals 20
Moneyline
PASS.
All the momentum rides with the Patriots (-375) and I'll ride that into a wager on the spread in this one.
Against the spread
BET PATRIOTS -7.5 (-110).
I’m honestly surprised this line isn’t higher, because I don’t see many reasons to trust Cincinnati right now. The Bengals look completely out of sync, especially on defense, and now they’re missing WR Ja’Marr Chase on top of it. That’s a brutal spot for an offense that already hasn’t been clicking consistently. It doesn’t help that Cincinnati has failed to cover in its last 3 games either — the trend is clearly moving the wrong way.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are trending up in a big way. They’ve covered 6 of their last 8, and it shows on the field. Maye has been legit, and the addition of WR Stefon Diggs has given this offense a different level of pop. Pair that with a strong run game from Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson, and suddenly New England has balance, rhythm and confidence — 3 things the Bengals clearly don’t.
What really stands out to me is how opposite these teams feel right now. The Patriots look like a group that believes in what it’s doing. The Bengals look frustrated, banged up, and unsure of themselves. That usually shows up on Sunday.
New England has been rock solid on the road too, and I expect them to keep riding this momentum.
Over/Under
BET OVER 50 (-110).
These teams have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 meetings, and both sides have been cashing Overs lately. Cincinnati has turned 5 of its last 6 into high-scoring games, and New England is doing its part too. With the Bengals giving up over 33 points per game and the Patriots scoring at a top-10 rate, I just see too many points being put up to stay under. I’m riding the Over.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and predictions
Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
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