The Buccaneers visit SoFi Stadium tonight for Sunday Night Football, taking on a Rams team favored by a touchdown and graded as a 72% winner in Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model. Los Angeles leans on strong projections from Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua, and Kyren Williams, all of whom are expected to drive the Rams’ scoring chances. Oddsmakers have the total at 49.5, with simulations showing an even split on whether the game finishes over or under.

Tampa Bay enters as the clear underdog but still carries enough offensive upside to keep things competitive. Baker Mayfield is projected for 247 passing yards, with Emeka Egbuka and Sean Tucker leading the Bucs’ playmaking outlook. Dimers even finds slight value on Tampa Bay’s +300 moneyline despite favoring the Rams, projecting a 28–21 final. Wi

See Full Page