Welcome back to STEP Differential. STEP stands for Sack + Turnover(x2) + Explosive Play Differential. Make sure you’re flipping through pages 2-5 to see everything broken out by component and the overall performance of the STEP Differential in individual games. I recently had someone pull individual game data for me going all the way back to 1999. I plan on publishing an in-depth piece but the first takeaway is that winning the STEP Differential has a positive effect consistent with the last two seasons with just over an 81% winning percentage. Winning STEP Differential by two or more pumps that number up to almost 85%. Infogram below:

We had a couple of victories that defied STEP Differential with the Chiefs comeback win / Colts collapse at a -7 for the Chiefs. The Lions also defied odds

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