Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) visit the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on Thanksgiving Day. Kickoff Thursday at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas, is for 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS / Paramount+). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Cowboys odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Chiefs snuck away with a 23-20 victory over the Indianapolis Colts Sunday, failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. QB Patrick Mahomes was 29-for-46 for 352 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. RB Kareem Hunt rushed 30 times for 104 yards and a score. They'll get RB Isiah Pacheco (knee) back after he went down Oct. 27 with a knee injury.

The Cowboys upset the Philadelphia Eagles 24-21 Sunday as 3-point home dogs. QB Dak Prescott was 23-for-36 for 354 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. WR George Pickens, who is second in the NFL in receiving yards, had 9 catches for 146 yards and a TD. The Dallas defense forced 2 fumbles against the defending champs.

These teams last met Nov. 21, 2021, with KC coming away with a 19-9 home victory as 2.5-point favorites.

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Chiefs at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Cowboys +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3 (-115) | Cowboys +3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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TNF: Best props bets

Chiefs at Cowboys key injuries

Chiefs

  • TE Noah Gray (concussion) out
  • OG Trey Smith (ankle) out

Cowboys

  • OT Tyler Guyton (ankle) out

Chiefs at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Cowboys 21

Moneyline

Plain and simple - the Chiefs can't afford a loss here if they hope to make it into the playoffs. However, they're too expensive at -175.

Give me PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 20.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115). He has been sacked 3+ times in 4 straight games and has been running for his life. The Chiefs are without their left guard, and I look for him to run enough to hit this number.

Against the spread

This 3-point spread is right on the money. Let's go with CHIEFS ALTERNATE SPREAD -2.5 (-140).

Over/Under

The Cowboys are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and the Chiefs are 2-8. I look for a defensive struggle type of game, and this total is too high for me.

Take UNDER 52 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Ryan Dodson, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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