Despite President Trump clinching a positive approval rating, Republicans are facing an erosion of support from independents in a troubling warning sign heading into the midterm elections, a survey from a conservative pollster showed.

Trump notched a 50%–46% positive to negative approval rating, but Democrats overtook Republicans for the first time this cycle on the generic congressional ballot question 45% to 44%, according to a conservative McLaughlin & Associates poll .

“If Republicans need around 60 million votes in 2026 to retake the House, there are more than enough Trump voters to do it — but as of 2025, the 75 million Harris voters appear more energized,” pollsters John McLaughlin and Jim McLaughlin explained in a Newsmax piece on their poll.

“There is time to change it.”

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