It's Week 14 of the college football season, and we have some of the biggest rivalries on the schedule. Sure, we all know about Ohio State-Michigan, Alabama-Auburn and Texas-Texas A&M, etc. ... And, true, they're all exciting. But, there are some other regional rivalries that are just as intense. Thankfully, while college football has changed so much, at least we still get these traditional games to close out the Thanksgiving weekend.
After analyzing FanDuel Sportsbook's college football odds, I found some lines we can take advantage of. Below are the best bets and same-game parlays I found, adding to SportsbookWire's expert college football picks and predictions for Week 14.
Weather is rearing its ugly head in the central portions of the country, from the Upper Midwest down through the Mississippi River valley and parts of the Deep South. That's usually what Mother Nature does this time of year, making for some added adventure, especially for Over/Under bettors.
I've scanned the weather models and forecasts for a handful of venues which will be problem areas due to wind, precipitation and/or cold temperatures. Generally, rain and wintry precipitation leads to a more ground-based attack. The same holds true for stiff winds. There are high-wave warnings and seiches in the Great Lakes, thanks to gale force winds. The intensity should affect a multitude of games, and winds gusting over 20-25 MPH can make passing and kicking impossible.
FRIDAY, NOON ET
- Iowa at Nebraska (CBS): 30F, 5% chance of snow, 15-19 MPH
- Ohio at Buffalo (ESPNU): 34F, 10% chance of snow/mix, 23-26 MPH
SATURDAY, NOON ET
- Colorado at Kansas State (FS1): 37F, 40% chance of rain/mix, 15-19 MPH
- No. 1 Ohio State at No. 15 Michigan (FOX): 28F, 40% chance of snow, 7-9 MPH
- Toledo at Central Michigan (ESPN+): 30F, 40% chance of snow, 6-8 MPH
SATURDAY, 2 P.M. ET
- Louisiana Tech at Missouri State (ESPN+): 42F, 80% chance of rain, 14-17 MPH
SATURDAY, 3 P.M. ET
- UAB at Tulsa (ESPN+): 49F, 30% chance of rain, 11-14 MPH
SATURDAY, 3:30 P.M. ET
- LSU at No. 8 Oklahoma (ABC): 50F, 10% chance of rain, 17-21 MPH
- Missouri at Arkansas (SEC Network): 45F, 70% chance of rain, 13-16 MPH
- Wisconsin at Minnesota (FS1): 25F, 70% chance of snow, 10-12 MPH
SATURDAY, 7 P.M. ET
- Maryland at Michigan State (FS1): 26F, 90% chance of snow (1-3 in), 7-9 MPH
SATURDAY, 7:30 P.M. ET
- Northwestern at Illinois (FOX): 30F, 90% chance of snow (2-4 in), 14-16 MPH
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Best college football Week 14 bets
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:23 p.m. ET. All games Saturday ET.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN +10.5 (-115) vs. Toledo / UNDER 44.5 (-110)
- Noon (ESPN+)
The Toledo Rockets (7-4, 5-2 MAC) and Central Michigan Chippewas (7-4, 5-2) lock horns in an important battle. These 2 are in a 4-team logjam at 5-2 in the MAC -- with Ohio and Miami (Ohio) -- and the winner has a shot at playing Western Michigan in the MAC Championship Game.
The Toledo defense has been rock-solid in MAC play. The Rockets have allowed just 70 points across 7 conference games for a 10.0 points per game (PPG) average, while the next best team -- first-place Western Michigan (8-4, 7-1) -- has held opponents to 14.5 PPG allowed (116 points, 8 games). Central Michigan is right there, too, in third with 17.0 PPG allowed (119 points, 7 games).
Points are going to be at a premium, with the weather really affecting the pace of play, particularly from the second quarter on. Also, 10 points is an awful lot to catch at home in an important game, especially in the snow. The Rockets are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in their past 4 road games, too. The Under has cashed in 6 in a row in this series, and in 9 of the past 10.
BEST BET: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +10.5 (-115)
SAME-GAME PARLAY I: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +10.5 and UNDER 44.5 = (+213)
SAME-GAME PARLAY II (teasing 7 points): CENTRAL MICHIGAN +17.5 and UNDER 51.5 = (-116)
NORTHWESTERN +7.5 at Illinois / UNDER 44.5 (-110)
- 7:30 p.m. (FOX)
As mentioned, this will be another weather-impacted game. In fact, this could be the snowiest venue of any of the winter-weather affected games.
The Northwestern Wildcats (6-5, 4-4 Big Ten) and Illinois Fighting Illini (7-4, 4-4) better not forget to pack their booties, 'cause it's cold out there today! Both teams hope this isn't the weather they're stuck with every day, like Phil Connors in Groundhog Day. The FOX national audience gets treated to a snow game, which is nice. And, it's a winter storm, and it should be a dooooooozy!
We should have inches of heavy, wet snow in the forecast which will mean a lot of running and, most likely, very few kicks.
Northwestern is a pretty good running team, led by RB Caleb Komolafe, who has run for 886 yards and 10 TDs, while averaging 5.1 yards per carry this season. In fact, I'm more confident in Komolafe than the 2-headed Illini RB monster of Kaden Feagin (486 rushing yards, 6 TDs, 114 carries) and Ca'Lil Valentine (475, 3, 109). Plus, the Illini's best offensive weapon, WR/KR Hank Beatty (61 receptions, 805 yards, 3 TDs), will have his speed neutralized due to the weather.
BEST BET: NORTHWESTERN +7.5 (-110) / BEST BET II: UNDER 44.5 (-110)
SAME-GAME PARLAY I: NORTHWESTERN +7.5 and UNDER 44.5 = (+224)
SAME-GAME PARLAY II (teasing 7 points): NORTHWESTERN +14.5 and UNDER 51.5 = (-115)
FRESNO STATE -3.5 (+100) at San Jose State / UNDER 46.5 (-114)
- 10:30 p.m. (FS1)
The Fresno State Bulldogs (7-4, 4-3 Mountain West) and San Jose State Spartans (3-8, 2-5) close out their regular seasons at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, California.
Weather isn't a problem, but Fresno State's defense will rain down on an overwhelmed San Jose team just trying to get to the finish line after a disappointing season.
The Bulldogs are coming off a 28-17 home loss as 2.5-point favorites vs. Utah State. They have won just twice in the past 5 games and are an ugly 2-5 ATS in the past 7 outings. So, proceed with caution. The Under has hit in 4 in a row for Fresno, and 6 of its past 7 contests. It helps that the defense has allowed 23 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 outings, and 6 of the previous 8 outings.
San Jose State should struggle against Fresno State. The Spartans have managed just 29 total points in the past 3 games -- all losses -- while allowing 25 or more points in each of the past 10 games. The Spartans look like they have checked out since bowl eligibility went bye-bye.
BEST BET: FRESNO STATE -3.5 (+100) / BEST BET II: UNDER 46.5 (-114)
SAME-GAME PARLAY I: FRESNO STATE -3.5 and UNDER 46.5 = (+267)
SAME-GAME PARLAY II (teasing 7 points): FRESNO STATE +3.5 and UNDER 53.5 = (-112)
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: College football hidden games for Week 14 best bets
Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
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