Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) looks to make a pass in the second half against the Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia.

The No. 3 Texas A&M Aggies (11-0, 7-0 SEC) and No. 16 Texas Longhorns (8-3, 5-2) meet Friday at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Texas A&M vs. Texas odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Texas leads the all-time series 77-37-1, including the past 2 meetings since Nov. 24, 2011. The Longhorns won 17-7 in College Station Nov. 30, 2024, covering as 4.5-point favorites with the Under (50) cashing in the first meeting with both teams as SEC members.

Texas A&M topped Samford 48-0 last week but was unable to cover as a 54-point favorite as the Under (59.5) cashed. Heisman hopeful QB Marcel Reed threw for 120 yards and 3 TDs. RB Amari Daniels ran for 106 yards and a TD, while RB Tiger Riden Jr. rushed for 45 yards and a score. WR Ashton Bethel-Roman posted 61 yards and 2 scores on his only 2 catches, while WR KC Concepcion was good for 42 yards and a score.

While A&M is unbeaten in all 11 games, it has failed to cover the past 2 outings. Prior to the win over Samford was the comeback against South Carolina, a 31-30 victory in the cop-shoving incident involving a Gamecocks player at Kyle Field. The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 outings.

Texas outlasted Arkansas 52-37 last Saturday, covering as an 8-point favorite with the Over (57.5) cashing. QB Arch Manning had 4 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD and 1 receiving score in a historic performance. He is the first QB to record all 3 types of TDs in the same game.

The cover against the Hogs halted an 0-3-1 against-the-spread (ATS) skid, while the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Texas A&M at Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texas A&M -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Texas +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread: Texas A&M -2.5 (-115) | Texas +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Texas A&M at Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas A&M 34, Texas 30

Moneyline

In what is expected to be a close game, if you want to take TEXAS A&M (-140) straight up, nobody could blame you. This could be a game decided by less than 1 score at DKR.

A&M has scored 31 or more points in 7 straight outings, so we know we're going to get points. And Manning enters the game brimming with confidence, while the Aggies nearly blew it all with a loss to South Carolina. A&M is not unbeatable, and venue matters. If this game were at home, A&M might win more comfortably, but this much-anticipated game in Austin will be a dogfight.

Against the spread

TEXAS A&M -2.5 (-115) is a better play laying the points if you're more of a traditional bettor.

The Aggies are 2-3 ATS in the past 5 games, while the Longhorns are 1-3-1 ATS in the same 5-game span. Neither team is really killing it against the number, and anything can happen in a rivalry game, so proceed with caution.

Over/Under

OVER 52.5 (-105) might be a strong play in Austin.

The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Texas, which has scored 34 or more points in 3 of those outings, while the defense has conceded 31 or more points in each of the past 4 contests.

The Over has hit in 5 of the past 6 games for A&M, including 5 straight vs. FBS opponents. The offense is humming, scoring 31 or more points in 7 straight.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Longhorns odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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