Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Dallas Mavericks center Daniel Gafford (21) and Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) battle for control of the rebound during the second quarter at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

The Dallas Mavericks (6-15) face the Denver Nuggets (14-5) Monday. Tip-off from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 series record: Nuggets won 3-1

The Mavs upset the LA Clippers Saturday in a 114-110 victory as 9-point dogs. F Cooper Flagg dropped a career-high 35 points with 8 rebounds. G Klay Thompson dropped 6 threes en route to 23 points off the bench for the Mavs, who were without F Anthony Davis (calf).

The Nuggets scorched the Phoenix Suns Saturday on the second of a back-to-back. They covered as 4-point road favorites in a 130-112 victory. C Nikola Jokic had 26 points, 9 boards and 10 assists. G Jamal Murray drilled 5 threes and had 24 points. G Tim Hardaway Jr. banged out 7 threes and had 23 off the bench.

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Mavericks at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Nuggets -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +11.5 (-115) | Nuggets -11.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries

Mavericks

F Anthony Davis (calf) probable
G Dante Exum (knee) out
C Daniel Gafford (ankle) doubtful
G Kyrie Irving (knee) out
C Dereck Lively II (foot) out
F P.J. Washington (ankle) questionable
G Brandon Williams (groin) questionable

Nuggets

G Christian Braun (ankle) out
F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) out
C Nikola Jokic (wrist) probable
G Julian Strawther (back) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Mavericks 109

Moneyline

AD is expected to play in this one, but unless Jokic sits, the Mavs have no way to check him.

PASS.

Against the spread

I'll take the MAVERICKS +11.5 (-115) here. The No. 1 overall pick Flagg is riding high, and with AD likely drawing the Jokic matchup, he should continue his assault.

Over/Under

Denver is 7-3 O/U in its last 10, and Dallas is 4-6. We would need Denver to approach 130 in order for an Over to clear, and I just don't see that kind of outside shooting required with AD in the paint.

Take UNDER 233.5 (-115).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Ryan Dodson, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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