Daily Point

Pat Halpin will need to ride a very big wave to win CD2

As the handicapping for next year’s House races amps up, neither of LI's two Republican incumbents are considered vulnerable — certainly not by either of the major parties' congressional campaign operations or independent political analysts.

In contrast, the Cook Political Report says that of LI's two Democrats, freshman Laura Gillen's CD4 race is a "tossup" and Tom Suozzi's in CD3 is "lean Democrat" as it monitors the relatively few contests where seats can change parties.

President Donald Trump won CD1 and CD2 in 2024.

But as of now, multiple polls show Trump's approval numbers continuing to sharply decline in the first year of his second term. Historically low.

"Anywhere you look, this is the second worst for a pr

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