CNN data analyst Harry Enten predicts trouble for the GOP ahead of Tuesday’s special congressional election in Tennessee’s seventh district.

“Even a close GOP win would be a bad sign for them because what we’re dealing with is a district that all three times Donald Trump was on the ballot, he won it by double digits,” said Enten on Tuesday’s CNN News Central.

As Enten explained, Tennessee’s seventh district ought to be a GOP slam dunk. Trump won the district by 17, 15, and 22 points in 2016, 2020, and 2024, respectively.

However, the special election to fill the seat vacated by Republican Mark Green’s resignation has proven to be much closer than expected. An Emerson poll released on Nov. 26 had Trump-backed Republican Matt Van Epps up only two points over Democrat Aftyn Behn.

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