Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) leaves the field after 31-24 win on Thanksgiving Day over Detroit Lions at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.

The Chicago Bears (9-3) and Green Bay Packers (8-3-1) meet Sunday to battle for the NFC North lead. Kickoff from Green Bay, Wisconsin, is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Bears vs. Packers odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Chicago picked up its fifth straight win 24-15 against the Philadelphia Eagles on Black Friday, covering as a 7.5-point road underdog as the Under (43) hit. Bears RB duo of Kyle Monangai and D'Andre Swift combined for 255 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs. The Bears, who haven't won the NFC North since 2018, forced 2 third quarter turnovers and held the Eagles to just 87 rushing yards.

Green Bay beat the Detroit Lions 31-24 on Thanksgiving, covering as a 3-point road underdog with the Over (48) hitting. QB Jordan Love finished with 4 passing TDs, including back-to-back drives with a TD pass on fourth down in the second quarter that helped the Packers build a lead. The Packers held the Lions to 0-for-2 on fourth downs.

The Bears ended a 9-game losing streak to the Packers, winning 24-22 in Lambeau Field in the final week of the 2024 season. The Packers lead the NFL's oldest rivalry 108-96-2.

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Bears at Packers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bears +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Packers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bears +6.5 (-105) | Packers -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Bears at Packers key injuries

Bears

  • LB Ruben Hyppolite II (shoulder) out
  • WR Rome Odunze (foot) out
  • DB Tyrique Stevenson (hip) out

Packers

  • S Javon Bullard (ankle) questionable
  • DE Brenton Cox Jr. (groin) questionable
  • WR Matthew Golden (wrist) questionable
  • CB Nate Hobbs (knee) questionable
  • WR Jayden Reed (foot/shoulder) questionable
  • LB Lukas Van Ness (foot) out
  • WR Savion Williams (foot) out
  • DT Devonte Wyatt (ankle) out

Bears at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 21, Bears 10

Moneyline

PASS.

I lean toward the Packers to cover as -300 favorites, but with such a questionable offense, they are not worth the risk of backing on the moneyline against this red-hot Bears squad. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

PACKERS -6.5 (-115).

Green Bay is much better defensively than the Bears, ranking top-6 in total yards and points allowed per game, while Chicago is bottom-10 in both categories. Furthermore, the Packers have the third-best TD percentage in the red zone while being top-10 in red zone attempts per game. On the other side, the Bears give up one of the highest red zone TD percentages to opponents.

This is a very slight lean as the Bears have a top rushing offense, and because the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games

Over/Under

BET UNDER 44 (-110).

If the Bears are going to keep this one close, it has to be a run-heavy game, especially on such a cold and potentially windy day where passing could prove to be difficult. If the Packers want to win this one, their defense has to dominate, meaning that the Under is safer either way. Look for Green Bay's defense to stun this Bears offense early and make it hard for them to recover.

The Under is 3-1 in Chicago's last 4 games overall and 3-0 in Green Bay's last 3 home games. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 matchups between these squads.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Payton Shanks, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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