Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) looks to pass the ball against the Atlanta Falcons during the fourth quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

The Atlanta Falcons (4-9) face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida, is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Falcons fell prey to the Seattle Seahawks in a 37-9 blowout at home last week. They failed to cover as 6.5-point dogs. QB Kirk Cousins was 15-for-30 for 162 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs. RB Bijan Robinson had 20 carries for 86 yards and 2 catches for 8 yards. WR Drake London (knee) has been out since Nov. 16, and his status is up in the air for Week 15.

The Bucs were upset by the New Orleans Saints 24-20 as 7.5-point home favorites last week. QB Baker Mayfield, who is battling a number of injuries, was 14-for-30 for 122 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. RB Bucky Irving rushed 15 times for 55 yards and had 2 grabs for 26 yards and a TD. They'll receive a boost from WR Mike Evans (collarbone) returning this week.

The Bucs took down the Falcons 23-20 in the season opener as 1-point road favorites Sept. 7 to tie the all-time series at 32-32.

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Falcons at Buccaneers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Falcons +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Buccaneers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +4.5 (-110) | Buccaneers -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Buccaneers key injuries

Falcons

  • DE Brandon Dorius (groin) questionable
  • WR Drake London (knee) out
  • DT David Onyemata (foot) questionable
  • QB Michael Penix Jr. (knee) out
  • TE Kyle Pitts (knee) questionable
  • EDGE Jalon Walker (quadriceps) questionable

Buccaneers

  • LB SirVocea Dennis (hip) out
  • WR Mike Evans (collarbone) questionable
  • WR Jalen McMillan (neck) questionable
  • TE Cade Otton (knee) doubtful
  • S Tykee Smith (neck, shoulder) doubtful

Falcons at Buccaneers picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 20, Falcons 13

Moneyline

The Bucs have lost 4 of 5 to fall into a tie with the Carolina Panthers atop the NFC South. They're getting Evans back, but look to be without TE Cade Otton. The Falcons' defense is 24th against the run, and the Bucs should be able to ride the combo of Irving and RB Rachaad White to victory. They're far too expensive to consider, though.

Instead, let's go with BUCKY IRVING LONGEST RUSH OVER 14.5 YARDS (-105). He broke a 32-yarder last week and has rushes of 15+ yards in 3 of 4 games.

Against the spread

Take the BUCCANEERS -4.5 (-110). The Falcons are 1-3 ATS in games Cousins has started this season.

Over/Under

The Bucs' offense has been struggling, and they've cashed 2 of the last 3 Unders. Meanwhile, Atlanta has struggled to move the ball with Cousins at the helm but cashed 2 straight Overs. I'll LEAN UNDER 44.5 (-110) here as I look for a lot of rushing attempts that will drain the clock.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Ryan Dodson, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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