SportsLine NFL expert Jeff Hochman's system paid off in Week 14 with the New Orleans Saints and Las Vegas Raiders covering against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Denver Broncos , respectively. He's lined up another system for Week 15 of the 2025 NFL season and identified two spots bettors can target.

NFL teams bouncing back after blowout losses

Win Rate: 53-30-5 ATS (63.9%)

Sample Size: Since 2005

Criteria: Teams off a 20+ point loss without rest

Edge: Underdogs of 9.5 or less

Why does this work?

This system works because Jo Public overreacts exorbitantly after blowout losses. A team gets destroyed 38-10, and suddenly everyone thinks they're garbage. Sports talk shows go crazy, casual bettors start fading them hard and the oddsmakers are forced to move the lines aggr

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