An extraordinary celestial event could unfold in the night sky in less than a decade if an asteroid passing Earth collides with the Moon.
The impact of asteroid 2024 YR4 into the lunar surface would likely send debris flying out towards us, resulting in a unique meteor shower composed entirely of moon dust .
This intriguing prospect is the subject of recent study by researchers from the University of Western Ontario, Athabasca University and the Institute for Earth and Space Exploration (IESX).
The team estimate that 2024 YR4—which is some 200 feet in diameter—has around a four percent chance of impacting the moon on December 22, 2032.
Should the collision occur, the energy released would be substantial—equivalent to 6.5 megatons of TNT. Such an impact would to excavate a massive